BBC News - Business

Thursday, 12 November 2015

PREVIOUS - Gold dips to near 6-year low, under pressure from Fed

business.citifmonline.com

- Gold drops one per cent, heads for 3rd day losses
- Platinum hits lowes in nearly 7 years after ETP outflows

London, Nov 12 (Reuters) - Gold extended early losses to hit its lowest levvel since early 2010 on Thursday, under pressure from expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve is on track to raise interest rates next month for the first time in nearly a decade.

Spot gold breached technical support at its July's low of $1,077 an ounce, falling 1 per cent to $1,074.26, the lowest since Feb 11, 2010. The metal was down 0.9 per cent at $1,075.85 an ounce by 1423 GMT. U.S. gold futures for December delivery dropped $9.30 an ounce at $1,075.80.

"We expect prices to fall a little bit further because of the anticipated rate hike by the Fed in December," Capital Economics analyst Simona Gambarini said.

Prices could fall to $1,050 by the end of the year."

The metal has shed nearly 6 per cent since the start of November, when an upbeat U.S. jobs report boosted expectations the Fed will raise rates this year. That would lift the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion, while boosting the dollar.

"The Fed has been driving the bulk of the move down from around $1,200 to below $1,100," Standard Chartered analyst Paul Hornsall said. "But ultimately we think the Fed will become a positive for gold."

"There has been so much concentration on when the first hike is coming, we don't think the debate has moved on to when the second and third hikes will come. We don't think there will be a third hike, and we think in fact the Fed will be in cutting mode by the end of next year. That's very positive for gold."

Traders will be eyeing remarks by at least six Fed officials, including Vice Chair Stanley Fischer, later for clues on monetary policy.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen, who opened a research conference on policy transmission and implementation after the 2007-2009 financial crisis on Thursday, did not comment on the rate hike timing or the U.S. economy.

Investors remain wary of gold. Assets in the biggest gold-backed exchange traded fund, SPDR Gold Shares, fell to 663.43 tonnes this week, the lowest since September 2008.

Other previous metals followed gold lower, with silver down 0.7 per cent at a fresh 2-1/2-month low of $14.17. Palladium fell 2 per cent to its lowest since August at $556.70 an ounce and platinum extended losses to $868.75, a near seven-year low. Both platinum group metals have been hit by outflows from exchange-traded funds.

"The amount currently held in physically backed EtFs in platinum and palladium is still high and equivalent to 32 per cent and 20 per cent of global supply respectively," Natixis analyst Bernard Dahdah said.

"Further outflows could take place and continue to hit prices." 

Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/11/12/global-precious-idUSL3N1373GY20151112#xz4udAroFCMKI3gE.97